SIBOR Biggest Fall Since Aug’ 09

SIBOR recorded its largest decline since Aug 31 2009 (by 1.4 basis points) to 0.466 percent, this is the lowest level since May this year. What this means is that property loans are expected to be kept LOW!!

Singapore’s three-month interbank (SIBOR) loan rate fell the most in 11 months as record economic growth on the island and signs of expansion globally bolstered confidence in the nation’s lenders.

A few finance experts that I’ve communicated with (in confidence), said that with the U.S. state of economy, interest rates over there will remain low, this is in hope that the low interest rate environment will encourage expenditure, and reduce the burden by many companies, municipalities, and even state governments.

But to many Singaporeans, much of what’s going on in the US or Europe/London isn’t much of their concern (although it does have impact on our economy, many are apathetic about this). Most importantly, you and I would be interested in how this will influence our mortgage loans.

Stay tuned for more news on mortgage rates and bank loans – competition is just going to get stiffer (do you hear my hands rubbing)? Yes time to refinance for those that aren’t locked-in!!

Lian Beng to build The Scala

Lian Beng has successfully been awarded the contract to build the new condo in Serangoon, next to Nanyang Junior College and Lorong Chuan MRT station, named – The Scala. This leasehold condo project is developed by Hong Leong Group.

Lian Beng received the S$119.5 million contract to build five towers (about 17-18 stories high).

Work on The Scala is expected to commence in October and be completed by the fourth quarter of 2013.

This is the second building contract Lian Beng clinched since June this year. In late June, Lian Beng  was awarded an S$88.3 million contract by UOL Development to build a 36-storey residential development at Spottiswoode Park Road.

Lian Beng seems to be getting quite a few jobs, and with the property market showing no signs of easing up, more is yet to come.

Freehold or Leashold – again?

Every once in a while, someone would write an article making a comparison between leasehold and freehold properties. Of course, when we are referring to leasehold, very often, it is referring to the 99 year leasehold, the 999 year which is as good as it gets, though still leasehold is taken to be equivalent to freehold in our local market context.

An article was published in the Today newspaper discussing this issue, which I feel is a over discussed issue. But since they have raised some points and so lets look at it for the purpose of pure discussion. Read the article here – http://bit.ly/clhu3F

My view is that why discuss it when objectives for own stay or investment differs, and each property is unique, each estate has different value/positive attributes, there is no apple to apple comparison, hence why compare at all? But still people like to compare to make themselves feel good that their purchase decision was right.

The writers of the article stated that:  ”We studied resale prices of freehold versus leasehold properties and found that the difference was between 10 and 15 per cent. ” This situation of the price gap narrowing has only occurred since 2009, since our latest bull run, prior to this, the price gap has been higher. With new property launches at higher prices, leasehold properties in the vicinity enjoy (on paper) value appreciation, owners wanting to sell naturally use new launch prices as a benchmark for their property as well, and they sell at marginally cheaper than new launched projects.

But I believe these studies done may not have taken into account that the comparison is going to be difficult as all properties are unique and the informed buyer of today takes this view to the fullest. Leasehold properties with very good amenities and connectivity to MRT has always maintained not only good rental yields, but consistent price value. In good times, its price appreciation will not fall behind freehold properties, in bad times, its depreciation will not be by too much, as compared to freehold properties in far flung locales.

The only point I strongly agree with the writer of the article is that:

“for leasehold properties – age is a factor. Once the tenure of a leasehold property goes below 30 years, its value declines sharply as prospective buyers will not be able to withdraw funds from their Central Provident Fund account or secure a loan for the property purchase. ”

When leasehold properties age, and as it is at the end of its life like a really old car without available spare parts, it doesn’t become and antique car, but something more suitable for the scrap heap, its intrinsic “scrap” value is quite low. But in all property investments, if you had gone in right at the beginning, you would have reaped the full benefit from the entire life of the property, even if it went for a song at the end of its life.

If you had a choice of a freehold property far away from MRT and a leasehold property walking distance to the MRT station, which would you choose if the price is similar, do share your views with us.

Market sentiment affected by global gloom

Despite having good and strong fundamentals in Singapore, mentally everyone is unable to place global economic problems out of mind. The ailing US dollar, astro-path of oil prices, poor US economic indicators and sub-prime problems are affecting overall sentiment – stock market and property market.

Market Sentiment ChartThe volume of transactions of new private homes dropped drastically in the month prior. Many analysts say that although its too early to tell if the property market is really slowing down or that everyone is just watching and waiting for something to happen first before actually taking action.

Well it is still true that there are many noveau-riche from the en-bloc sales in 2007, who should have received their pot of gold, and are still shopping around. In fact there were rumours that some of these noveau-riche are sitting it out, hoping that prices will dip, so that they can get a good bargain.

So it’s just a waiting game, as developers who have benefited from the bull run in 2007, still have much holding power, and are all adopting a wait-and-see attitude, and definitely not willing to reduce prices anytime soon. We will all wait to see who will not be able to wait out this waiting game.

You Order, We Build

Towards the end of the previous property boom, HDB suddenly realised “we’ve got too many HDB units than the people wanting to buy them”. Then as the property market declined, those that saved their money to place a deposit on their dream HDB home realised that with the same amount of money they could get a private condo or apartment. All these factors casued an accumulation of unsold HDB units in many newly developed towns – like Sengkang, Jurong, Sembawang etc. Many people would have probably forgotten all these unhappy times (unhappy for some, glee for others). The glut in the property market and abundance of HDB flats lead to the Build-To-Order (BTO) system.

Punggol TreetopsThe Build-To-Order (BTO) is a responsive system offering flexibility in location and timing for flat buyers. Eligible buyers planning to shift into a new HDB apartment in the near future can apply for apartments in their preferred location from specific sites launched. [quoted from HDB web]

Since last year HDB had already pushed the BTO system, the most recent launches are:

  1. Segar Meadows in Bukit Panjang Ring Road, comprising 412 three- and four-room flats
  2. Compassvale Beacon in Punggol Road, comprising 750 two-, three-, and four-room flats

According to the reports in the news, the authorities will also launch for sale four plots of land in Bishan, Simei, Toa Payoh and Bedok for flats to be built and sold by private developers. Another three sites – in Yishun, Jurong, and Sengkang – will be made available next year for development of executive condominiums.

However, because of the long wait for BTO flats (approx. 3 years), some applicants that have been unable to get their unit of choice turned to the resale market to purchase their flat. Of course many of such applications still profess to wanting a brand new unit, as it feels good to own something that is newly built, with newly landscaped surroundings, is definitely much better than getting a flat from the resale market (apart from the higher price they might need to fork out).

We do not forsee the BTO system helping to reduce the present high demand for newly developed HDB flats soon. Should you be considering purchasing a new HDB flat, or looking to move to a new environment, please consult with us for details on new property launches and HDB resale flats – that suit your budget and your requirements.

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